Shell plc publishes first quarter 2026 press release
London, May 7, 2026
"Shell delivered strong results enabled by our relentless focus on operational performance in a quarter marked by unprecedented disruption in global energy markets. The safety of our people remains our priority as we work closely with governments and customers to address their energy needs.
Last week we announced the acquisition of ARC Resources, accelerating our strategy by adding complementary, high-quality, low-cost liquids and gas assets that we believe will deliver value for decades to come.
Today, consistent with our value driven capital allocation philosophy, we are rebalancing our shareholder distributions, with a $3 billion share buyback programme for the next 3 months1 and a 5% increase in the dividend, in line with our existing 40-50% of CFFO distribution policy."
Shell plc Chief Executive Officer, Wael Sawan
INTEGRATED PORTFOLIO DRIVES STRONG RESULTS
Q1 2026 Adjusted Earnings2 of $6.9 billion reflect strong performance across the business. CFFO excluding working capital was $17.2 billion for the quarter. Working capital outflow of $11.2 billion in Q1 2026 reflects impact of unprecedented volatility in commodity prices.
Strong operational performance across the portfolio supports higher contributions from trading & optimisation.
Cash capex outlook for 2026: $24 - $26 billion, includes ~$4 billion for ARC acquisition. 2027 - 2028 outlook unchanged at $20 - $22 billion.
ARC Resources acquisition to add 370 kboe/d, leading to a 4% production CAGR through to 2030 (from 2025).
Resilient balance sheet with gearing of 23% (including leases) mainly reflects working capital increase in current price environment.
Commencing a $3.0 billion share buyback programme for the next 3 months1 and 5% increase in the dividend to $0.3906.
Q2 2026 volume outlook reflects the expected impact of the Middle East conflict.
| $ million2 | Adj. Earnings | Adj. EBITDA | CFFO | Cash capex | |
| Integrated Gas | 1,819 | 4,115 | 483 | 1,014 | |
| Upstream | 2,377 | 7,261 | 3,178 | 2,159 | |
| Marketing | 1,334 | 2,437 | 2,224 | 248 | |
| Chemicals & Products3 | 1,925 | 3,544 | (2,308) | 363 | |
| Renewables & Energy Solutions | 348 | 548 | 2,937 | 404 | |
| Corporate | (908) | (164) | (451) | 14 | |
| Less: Non-controlling interest (NCI) | (21) | ||||
| Shell | Q1 2026 | 6,915 | 17,741 | 6,062 | 4,202 |
| Q4 2025 | 3,256 | 12,799 | 9,438 | 6,015 | |
1 Given the securities law requirements that apply to Shell plc in connection with its agreement to acquire ARC Resources Ltd. (ARC), it will be necessary to suspend the programme from the time of publication of the ARC shareholder circular until the conclusion of the ARC shareholder meeting. Any buybacks not undertaken due to such suspension will be part of the remaining 2026 programmes (subject to Board approval).
2 Income/(loss) attributable to shareholders for Q1 2026 is $5.7 billion. Reconciliation of non-GAAP measures can be found in the quarterly unaudited results, available on www.shell.com/investors.
3 Chemicals & Products Adjusted Earnings at a subsegment level are as follows: Chemicals $(0.1) billion and Products $2.0 billion.
CFFO of $6.1 billion in Q1 2026, reflects working capital outflow of $11.2 billion which is linked to the impact of unprecedented volatility in commodity prices on inventory and receivables.
Net debt of $52.6 billion includes the working capital outflow and ~$3 billion non-cash net debt increase in variable component of long-term shipping leases in the current macro environment.
| $ billion1 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 |
| Working capital | (2.7) | (0.4) | 1.3 | (11.2) | |
| Divestment proceeds | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | |
| Free cash flow | 5.3 | 6.5 | 10.0 | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| Net debt | 41.5 | 43.2 | 41.2 | 45.7 | 52.6 |
1 Reconciliation of non-GAAP measures can be found in the quarterly unaudited results, available on www.shell.com/investors.
Q1 2026 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE DRIVERS
INTEGRATED GAS
| Key data | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 outlook |
| Realised liquids price ($/bbl) | 55 | 77 | |
| Realised gas price ($/thousand scf) | 6.8 | 6.5 | |
| Production (kboe/d) | 948 | 909 | 580 - 640 |
| LNG liquefaction volumes (MT) | 7.8 | 7.9 | 6.8 - 7.4 |
| LNG sales volumes (MT) | 19.8 | 19.2 |
Adjusted Earnings were in line with Q4 2025, reflecting LNG lagged pricing in long-term contracts (e.g. JCC - 3 months). Trading and optimisation results were in line with Q4 2025.
Q2 2026 production and liquefaction outlook reflects the impact of Middle East conflict including Qatar and higher planned maintenance across the portfolio.
UPSTREAM
| Key data | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 outlook |
| Realised liquids price ($/bbl) | 59 | 72 | |
| Realised gas price ($/thousand scf) | 6.2 | 6.9 | |
| Liquids production (kboe/d) | 1,393 | 1,346 | |
| Gas production (million scf/d) | 2,894 | 2,884 | |
| Total production (kboe/d) | 1,892 | 1,843 | 1,620 - 1,820 |
Adjusted Earnings were higher than in Q4 2025, reflecting higher realised prices.
Q2 2026 production outlook reflects higher planned maintenance across the portfolio.
MARKETING
| Key data | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 outlook |
| Marketing sales volumes (kb/d) | 2,701 | 2,627 | 2,500 - 2,700 |
| Mobility (kb/d) | 1,959 | 1,915 | |
| Lubricants (kb/d) | 83 | 95 | |
| Sectors & Decarbonisation (kb/d) | 658 | 617 |
Adjusted Earnings were significantly higher than in Q4 2025, supported by seasonally stronger Lubricants performance, strong optimisation margins and lower opex.
Q2 2026 outlook reflects lower expected volumes and a weaker margin environment.
CHEMICALS & PRODUCTS
| Key data | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 outlook |
| Refinery processing intake (kb/d) | 1,178 | 1,219 | |
| Chemicals sales volumes (kT) | 2,136 | 2,253 | |
| Refinery utilisation (%) | 95 | 99 | 91 - 99 |
| Chemicals manufacturing plant utilisation (%) | 76 | 85 | 76 - 84 |
| Global indicative refining margin ($/bbl) | 14 | 17 | |
| Global indicative chemical margin ($/t) | 140 | 139 |
Products margins reflect higher refinery utilisation, improved refining margins and significantly higher trading and optimisation.
Chemicals Adjusted Earnings improved compared to Q4 2025, but continued to be impacted by a weak margin environment.
RENEWABLES & ENERGY SOLUTIONS
| Key data | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 |
| External power sales (TWh) | 72 | 72 |
| Sales of pipeline gas to end-use customers (TWh) | 160 | 197 |
| Renewables power generation capacity (GW)* | 6.1 | 6.4 |
| 4.2 | 4.3 |
| 1.9 | 2.0 |
*Excludes Shell's equity share of associates where information cannot be obtained.
Adjusted Earnings were higher than in Q4 2025, with significantly higher trading and optimisation.
CORPORATE
| Key data | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 outlook |
| Adjusted Earnings ($ billion) | (0.6) | (0.9) | (0.8) - (0.6) |
Adjusted Earnings were lower than in Q4 2025, with higher one-off interest costs.
UPCOMING INVESTOR EVENTS
May 19, 2026 Annual General Meeting
July 30, 2026 Second quarter 2026 results and dividends
October 29, 2026 Third quarter 2026 results and dividends
USEFUL LINKS
Results materials Q1 2026
Webcast registration Q1 2026
Dividend announcement Q1 2026
Capital Markets Day 2025 materials
Financial Modelling Guidance
LNG Portfolio - Strategic Spotlight 2026
Impact of Middle East conflict
ARC acquisition materials
ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE (NON-GAAP) MEASURES
This announcement includes certain measures that are calculated and presented on the basis of methodologies other than in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) such as IFRS, including Adjusted Earnings, Adjusted EBITDA, CFFO excluding working capital movements, Cash capital expenditure, free cash flow, Divestment proceeds and Net debt. This information, along with comparable GAAP measures, is useful to investors because it provides a basis for measuring Shell plcs operating performance and ability to retire debt and invest in new business opportunities. Shell plcs management uses these financial measures, along with the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures, in evaluating the business performance.
This announcement may contain certain forward-looking non-GAAP measures such as free cash flow and underlying operating expenses. We are unable to provide a reconciliation of these forward-looking non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measures because certain information needed to reconcile the non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measures is dependent on future events some of which are outside the control of the company, such as oil and gas prices, interest rates and exchange rates. Moreover, estimating such GAAP measures with the required precision necessary to provide a meaningful reconciliation is extremely difficult and could not be accomplished without unreasonable effort. Non-GAAP measures in respect of future periods which cannot be reconciled to the most comparable GAAP financial measure are estimated in a manner which is consistent with the accounting policies applied in Shell plcs consolidated financial statements.
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT
The companies in which Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate legal entities. In this announcement Shell, Shell Group and Group are sometimes used for convenience to reference Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words we, us and our are also used to refer to Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These terms are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular entity or entities. Subsidiaries, Shell subsidiaries and Shell companies as used in this announcement refer to entities over which Shell plc either directly or indirectly has control. The terms joint venture, joint operations, joint arrangements, and associates may also be used to refer to a commercial arrangement in which Shell has a direct or indirect ownership interest with one or more parties. The term Shell interest is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect ownership interest held by Shell in an entity or unincorporated joint arrangement, after exclusion of all third-party interest.
This announcement contains forward-looking statements (within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995) concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on managements current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Shell to market risks and statements expressing managements expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as aim; ambition; anticipate; aspire; aspiration, believe; commit; commitment; could; desire; estimate; expect; goals; intend; may; milestones; objectives; outlook; plan; probably; project; risks; schedule; seek; should; target; vision; will; would and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this announcement, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shells products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks, including climate change; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, judicial, fiscal and regulatory developments including tariffs and regulatory measures addressing climate change; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; (m) risks associa